Friday, April 12, 2019

The Weekly Take, Issue 58: Is Another Miracle About to Happen?


As the first leg of this season’s Champions League quarterfinal ties commenced, one could be forgiven for overlooking the Ajax-Juventus match, as it was one expected to be very one-sided in Juventus’ favour. This was despite the fact that Ajax had just recorded an astonishing victory over Real Madrid to send Los Merengues packing in the round of 16.

However, the Amsterdam club once again defied the odds, holding the Bianconeri to a 1-1 draw, with David Neres equalizing after Cristiano Ronaldo had opened the scoring for Juve. Even more impressive was the fact that statistically speaking, Ajax outplayed Juve for large portions of the game. They had more shots on target, corners, possession, and completed passes. Ajax’s passing accuracy was also 10 percentage points higher than Juve’s.

It was a steady, assured performance from Ajax, with players such as Hakim Ziyech, Frenkie de Jong, Neres, and Daley Blind causing major problems for their favoured opponents.

Even though Ajax only began appearing on most people’s radars after their stunning win over Real, this team is actually much better than these people assume. Their core of de Jong, Ziyech, Matthijs de Ligt, Lasse Schöne, Dušan Tadić, and Nicolás Tagliafico is good enough to worry any top team in Europe. Despite their lack of a bona fide superstar, Ajax clearly have a formidable starting 11 and a generally deep roster.

Like many underdog teams that have found success, Ajax have often had to resort to unconventional tactics when playing against more fancied opponents, and these tactics seem to have worked very well indeed. Against Juve, attacking midfielder Tadić started at centre-forward, something he seldom does in Eredivisie matches against weaker teams, but usually does in Champions League matches, especially when Ajax is the underdog. Just as he did in the round of 16 match against Real, the Serbian thrived in the “false nine” role, picking up where he left off and having another excellent game against the Turin club’s much-vaunted defense. Ajax also typically field a 4-3-3 formation in domestic league play but adjust to tough Champions League opponents by fielding a 4-2-3-1 formation. This tactical switch has obviously paid off up to this point.

In this regard, Ajax head coach Erik ten Hag deserves a tremendous amount of credit. When he took over in December 2017, Ajax were a team in disarray. They had failed to qualify for the Europa League, had been knocked out of the KNVB Cup, and were on their way to once again failing to win the Eredivisie title; PSV would go on to take it by four points. However, had ten Hag not taken over from Marcel Keizer when he did, it could easily have been so much worse. Ten Hag’s appointment put new life into the team, as unlike Keizer, he was able to get the best out of what many would consider to be a team which was relatively financially constrained. This momentum carried over into the current season, reaching its high point with the victory over Real.

Ajax has always prioritized the development of its young players. This mentality has undoubtedly been facilitated by its iconic youth academy. In their current squad, de Ligt, de Jong, Neres, Donny van den Beek, and André Onana are all regular starters who are 23 years old or younger; all five are products of Ajax’s youth academy and played for Ajax’s youth team Jong Ajax. This young core has formed a formidable, home-grown nucleus throughout this season.

Considering what European club football today has become, this season could represent Ajax’s best chance to reach the Champions League semifinals for the first time since 1997 when coincidentally, they were knocked out by Juve. De Jong is already Barcelona-bound, and after Ajax’s impressive run this season, there will surely be no shortage of elite clubs chasing their other key players in the coming off-season.

With this in mind, Ajax really have nothing to lose as they enter the second leg in Turin. They have already surpassed expectations by reaching the quarterfinals and are once again expected to lose, so the pressure is off.

Having said that, if Ajax were to record another upset victory, it would write another chapter to what has become a breakout season.

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